Case Study:  Forecasting - Fuel Economy

Delivered diesel truck fuel economy forecast out to 2030 including key legislative drivers and technology enablers

Situation and Objective

  • The team was asked to provide a Diesel Truck Fuel Economy Forecastalong with associated drivers to aid in vehicle strategy formulation and business case development
    • Regions: Europe, US, Japan, China, India
    • Commercial Vehicle Segments: Light CV, Medium CV, Heavy CV, Urban Bus

Approach

 

  • Trend Analysis
    • Assess policy on commercial vehicle fuel economy; review impact of historical regulations as well as expected impact of current / anticipated legislation
  • Literature Review
    • Review academic papers / studies on diesel fuel economy
  • Technology Roadmaps
    • Investigate solutions to meet future emissions targets at engine and vehicle level (technical / cost / market reaction)
  • Fuel Economy Forecast (L/100km) by Region / CV segment

Results and benefits

 

  • Delivered region and segment specific fuel consumption forecast which included explicit L/100km projections as well as average annual rates of change
  • Explained timing of changes in each region with details of known / expected legislation as well as expected uptake rate of various engine and vehicle level technologies
  • Utilized global network of experts to deliver feasible technology solutions to aid OEM in product strategy formulation